Glorious Fall In the Northern Hemisphere

Everything is spectacular right now, and I’m hard at work on some exciting projects. I hope to finish up a barometric land topography piece (an enjoyable side project that I mostly used to get very acclimated with Kotlin) within the week and it should make for some interesting content, but aside from that I hope to be very prolific in my creations over the next while, having the time and attention to make the most of opportunities.

Thank you to all who have queried on the quiet — it will be worth the wait.

Filler Post

All has been quiet on here lately during a busy professional and personal time. Just a quick update that everything is great, I certainly haven’t abandoned this, and hope to have some interesting updates very soon.

Aside from imaging/video, a big focus of my time and attention lately has been blockchain technologies. While the industry is full of a lot of foolish efforts, and some areas have the rank stench of a pyramid scheme, holistic solutions like Ethereum offer a unique perspective that deserves contemplation and research. So I’ve been deep diving through that stack, currently becoming an expert in the Go and C++ official implementations. Not in a “me too” gold rush hope, but instead that some of the choices and patterns are uniquely elegant, and will have utility in a variety of spaces.

Technology and Population Density Trends

A bit of a rambling, conversational piece today.

Amara’s Law states-

We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run, and underestimate the effect in the long run.

We declare that a technology changes everything, realize that entrenched patterns/behaviors and small hangups limit broad adoption. We discount it as over-hyped and not as significant as expected. It quietly takes over and changes the very foundations of society and our lives.

Recently I was pondering what electric cars and self-driving cars would do to population density. The former — using mechanically simpler vehicles with a much less expensive energy source — will significantly reduce the cost of driving as it achieves the economy of scale, while the latter will reduce the inconvenience of driving, commuting in particular.

Self-driving cars will not only allow us to do other things during the ride, it will significantly increase the capacity of our roads to handle traffic by reducing human error and inefficiencies.

Intuitively, at least to me, these changes will propagate lower density living. That home that previously would have been an expensive, three-hour commute becomes a relaxing period to watch a Netflix series or catch up on emails.

Considering the probable social change of self-driving EVs led me to consider the changes over the past several decades. In Canada, as an example, lower density areas of the country — the Atlantic provinces, rural areas, small towns and villages — are hollowing out. The high density areas, such as the Golden Horseshoe around Toronto, is a magnetic draw for all of Canada and continues growing at a blistering pace.

Even if a home in the Toronto area costs 5x the price for a given set of amenities, and even if a hypothetical person might prefer lower density, many forces still draw them in.

Which is strange, in a way. I grew up in a small city and seemed to be completely isolated from the larger world. Calling a relative 20 minutes down the road necessitated long distance. My town had no computer store, a mediocre BBS, few channels on television, no radio station, etc. There were few resources for learning.

I was wide eyed at the options available in the big city.

Yet today we live in a world where that same small town has inexpensive 100Mbps internet, and can communicate with anyone over the globe in an instant. Where you can order just about anything and have it the next day, or even the same day. Every form of entertainment is available. Every resource and learning tool is a couple of clicks away (aside — education is one area that has yet to see the coming change from the new world). Few of the benefits of the density are missing.

But those same changes led to centralization, and a hollowing out of most of the better jobs, entailing the workforce having to follow.

We centralized government and administration, pulling the school boards and government offices, banks, etc, out of those small towns in the quest for efficiency, moving up the density ladder. Those five small villages amalgamated to a single board, that then got pulled into a larger board in the city an hour up the road, etc. Connectivity means that management for the few remaining auspices of structure can be at a far flung location.

Every medical specialty was moved to larger centers as the ownership of cars became prevalent, and long drives were accepted. Seeing a pediatrician 200km away becomes a simple norm. Service and even retailing gets centralized to some unknown place elsewhere on the globe.

Everything centralizes. Because it can.

Most decent jobs require a move to density. The same forces that gave the convenience of the city in far flung locations also relegated it to being essentially a retirement home.

Reconsidering the probable change of EVs and self-driving cars will likely accelerate that migration.

Updates: Pay Apps / Date-Changing Posts / Random Projects

Recently a couple of readers noticed that some posts seemed to be reposted with contemporary dates. The explanation might be broadly interesting, so here goes.

I host this site on Amazon’s AWS, as that’s where I’ve done a lot of professional work, I trust the platform, etc. It’s just a personal blog so I actually host it on spot instances — instances that are bid upon and can be terminated at any moment — and there was a dramatic spike late in the week on the pricing of c3 instances, exceeding my bid maximum. My instance was terminated with extreme prejudice. I still had the EBS volume, and could easily have replicated the data on the new instance for zero data loss (just a small period of unavailability), however I was just heading out so I just ramped up an AMI image that I’d previously saved, posted a couple of the lost posts from Google cache text, and let it be. Apologies.

Revisiting Gallus

Readers know I worked for a while on a speculative app called Gallus — a gyroscope-stabilized video solution with a long litany of additional features. Gallus came close to being sold as a complete technology twice, and was the source of an unending amount of stress.

Anyways, recently wanted a challenge of frame-v-frame image stabilization and achieved some fantastic results, motivated by my Galaxy S8 that features OIS (which it provides no developer accessible metrics upon), but given the short range of in-camera OIS it can yield an imperfect result. The idea with be a combination of EIS and OIS, and the result of that development benefits everything. I rolled it into Gallus to augment the existing gyroscope feature, coupling both for fantastic results (it gets rid of the odd gyro mistiming issue, but still has the benefit that it fully stabilizes with highly dynamic and complex scenes). Previously I pursued purely a big pop outcome — I only wanted a tech purchase, coming perilously close — but this time it’s much more sedate in my life and my hope is relaxed. Nonetheless it will return as a pay app, with a dramatically simplified and optimized API. I am considering restricting it only to devices I directly test on first hand. If there are zero or a dozen installs that’s fine, as it’s a much different approach and expectation.

Project with my Son

Another project approaching release is novelty app with my son, primarily to acclimate him to “team” working with git. Again expectations are amazingly low and it’s just for fun, but might make for the source of some content.